Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Wimbledon 2017 Mens Quarter finals: Some surprises coming in, but expect none going forward


Men's QF days promises some thrills, but no major surprises on the cards:

Expect Murray, Federer, Djokovic and Cilic to power through to the semis.
 
 

Sadly (for me), in spite of Rafael Nadal bowing it, the tournament moves on mercilessly. Anyways, the remaining eight men, diversely representing eight countries (Great Britain, America, Switzerland, Canada, Luxembourg, Croatia, Serbia and the Czech Republic)

Andy Murray v Sam Querrey: Querrey is playing terrific tennis, and last year had knocked out Novak Djokovic, kicking of his slump. He is a big server, and plays well on grass. He has beaten a few top 20 players this year, including Nadal in Mexico. He has the game and the confidence. But Murray eats big servers for breakfast and is approaching something close to his best form of the year.  He has beaten Querrey on the one occasion they played here and more importantly defeated him the last time they met, in Australia earlier this year. Murray now is better than Murray then. Querrey might stretch Murray to a tiebreak or two, but his run ends here.

Pick: Murray in 4 sets.

Roger Federer v Milos Raonic: A rematch of last year's semi-final, where an undercooked Federer still lead by two sets to one before falling in five sets to the Canadian who was playing the best tennis of his life. Now the Swiss is playing better and the Canadian is not at his 2016 level. While it is true that Federer has not played anyone with a serve the caliber of Raonic, it is also true that Raonic has not met anyone nearly as complete on grass as Federer. Before last year, the Swiss had beaten the Canadian on grass twice, once on these lawns. Expect the same.

Pick: Federer to win in 3 sets.
 
 

Gilles Muller v Marin Cilic: Both great servers. Both with over 10 wins on grass already this year. They partied long and hard in Luxembourg for Muller's career-defining performance in defeating Rafael Nadal, apparently showing no nerves and displaying excellent grass court nous, but surely Muller must be a little tired and more riskily, on a high that he needs to climb down off. Cilic has an excellent record on grass, defeated Muller two weeks ago and is still smarting from somehow letting Federer off the hook last year in the quarters after holding match points. Oh, and one more thing: Muller's epic fifth set 15-13 took longer than Cilic's entire fourth round match.

Pick: Cilic in 3 sets.

Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych: This tournament was where the slump started for Novak, which resulted in him relinquishing all 4 of his Slam titles, started. And it does appear that this tournament is where he is slowly, but surely, rediscovering his inner mongrel, so essential to his success. He can put aside the hugging and loving and learning for now. Facing an opponent he has beaten 25/27 times should provide him with a brisk workout, nothing else, for Berdych, so long a mainstay in the top ten, has had his own slump. Berdych can look to his 2010 defeat of Novak on these courts for inspiration. But that was a long time ago, and unlikely to return. The big serving, industrious Czech will need to be happy with a quarter-final result.

Pick: Djokovic in 4 sets.

 

 

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